Michal Ždanský Ngati wina akukayikirabe kuyambika kwa nthawi ya Post-PC, manambala omwe atulutsidwa sabata ino ndi makampani owerengera. Strategy Analytics a IDC ayenera kutsimikizira ngakhale okayikira kwambiri. Nthawi ya PC idafotokozedwa koyamba ndi Steve Jobs mu 2007 pomwe adafotokoza zida zamtundu wa iPod ngati zida zomwe sizimagwira ntchito wamba koma zimayang'ana kwambiri ntchito zina monga kusewera nyimbo. Tim Cook adapitilizabe mawuwa zaka zingapo pambuyo pake, ponena kuti zida za Post PC zasintha kale makompyuta akale ndipo izi zipitilira.
Izi zidaperekedwa ndi kampaniyo Strategy Analytics chifukwa cha choonadi Malinga ndi kuyerekezera kwawo, mu 2013 malonda a mapiritsi adzaposa malonda a mafoni a m'manja (makamaka zolemba) kwa nthawi yoyamba, ndi gawo la 55%. Ngakhale kuti mapiritsi 231 miliyoni akuyembekezeka kugulitsidwa, ma laputopu 186 miliyoni ndi makompyuta ena am'manja. Tiyenera kukumbukira kuti chaka chatha chiŵerengerocho chinalinso pafupi, ndi pafupifupi 45 peresenti mokomera mapiritsi. Chaka chamawa, kusiyana kukuyenera kukulirakulira, ndipo mapiritsi ayenera kupeza gawo la 60 peresenti pakati pa zida zamakompyuta zam'manja.
Iyi ndi nkhani yabwino kwa Apple ndi Google, omwe amagawana msika wonse pafupifupi theka la machitidwe opangira. Komabe, Apple ili pamwamba pano chifukwa ndiyomwe imagawa mapiritsi a iOS (iPad), pomwe phindu logulitsa mapiritsi a Android limagawidwa pakati pa opanga angapo. Kuphatikiza apo, mapiritsi ambiri opambana a Android amagulitsidwa ndi malire ochepa (Kindle Fire, Nexus 7), kotero kuti phindu lalikulu la gawoli lidzapita ku Apple.
M'malo mwake, ndi nkhani zoyipa kwa Microsoft, yomwe ikuvutikira pamsika wamapiritsi. Mapiritsi ake a Surface sanawonepo bwino kwambiri, ndipo alibenso opanga ena okhala ndi mapiritsi a Windows 8/Windows RT. osachita bwino kwambiri. Kuti zinthu ziipireipire, mapiritsi akukula pang'onopang'ono osati ma laputopu okha, komanso makompyuta amunthu onse. Malinga ndi IDC, malonda a PC adagwa 10,1 peresenti, kuposa momwe kampaniyo inkayembekezera poyamba (1,3% kumayambiriro kwa chaka, 7,9% mu May). Kupatula apo, nthawi yomaliza yomwe msika wa PC udawona kukula m'gawo loyamba la 2012, ndipo nthawi yomaliza yogulitsa idakula ndi magawo awiri peresenti ndi 2010, pomwe, mwangozi, Steve Jobs adavumbulutsa iPad yoyamba.
IDC akutinso kutsika kupitilira ndikuyerekeza kugulitsa kwa ma PC 305,1 miliyoni (makompyuta + ma laputopu) mu 2014, kutsika ndi 2,9% kuchokera pa zomwe zanenedweratu chaka chino za ma PC 314,2 miliyoni. Muzochitika zonsezi, komabe, akadali kungoganiza chabe. Ndipotu, Mapa kwa chaka chamawa zikuwoneka pafupifupi zabwino kwambiri, Komanso malinga ndi IDC kuchepa kuyenera kuyima m'zaka zikubwerazi ndipo malonda akuyenera kuwukanso mu 2017.
IDC amakhulupirira kukwera bwino kwa makompyuta a 2-in-1 osakanizidwa, koma amanyalanyaza chifukwa cha kupambana kwa iPad ndi mapiritsi ambiri. Anthu wamba omwe sagwiritsa ntchito kompyuta pantchito amatha kukhala ndi msakatuli wapaintaneti, cholembera chosavuta, mwayi wopezeka pamasamba ochezera, kuwona zithunzi, kusewera makanema ndi kutumiza maimelo, omwe iPad imawapatsa mosavutikira. ndi makina ogwiritsira ntchito pakompyuta. Pachifukwa ichi, iPad ndidi kompyuta yoyamba kwa anthu ambiri chifukwa cha kuphweka kwake komanso mwachilengedwe. Kupatula apo, sanali wina koma Steve Jobs yemwe adaneneratu za piritsi mu 2010:
“Pamene tinali alimi, magalimoto onse anali magalimoto chifukwa mumawafuna pafamupo. Koma njira zoyendera zitayamba kugwiritsidwa ntchito m’mizinda, magalimoto anayamba kutchuka kwambiri. Zatsopano monga kutumiza ma automatic, chiwongolero chamagetsi ndi zinthu zina zomwe simunasamale nazo m'magalimoto zidakhala zofunika m'magalimoto. Ma PC adzakhala ngati magalimoto. Akadakhalabe pano, adzakhalabe ndi phindu lalikulu, koma m'modzi yekha mwa anthu X adzawagwiritsa ntchito. "
Koma malonda a mapiritsi ndi apamwamba kwambiri chifukwa amasintha nthawi zambiri kuposa makompyuta. Ndikuganiza kuti anthu ambiri sangakhale opanda makompyuta, koma n'zovuta kulosera zam'tsogolo ...
Tangoyang'anani pa chitukuko ndi tsogolo n'zosavuta kudziwiratu :) Chiŵerengero cha ma desktops ndi laputopu mu chiwerengero chonse cha makompyuta chidzayima pafupifupi 10-20% ndiyeno sichidzachepa.
Ndipo kawirikawiri pamakhala kompyuta imodzi yokha m'banja, nthawi zina ngakhale laputopu, pamene mapiritsi akufalikira kwambiri ngati mafoni a m'manja, kotero kuti aliyense m'banja adzakhala ndi imodzi.
Kugulitsa kwa PC sikudzatha, komanso ma laputopu. Muyenera kuchita ntchito pa chinachake, ndipo tiyeni tione zenizeni... simungathe kwenikweni ntchito akatswiri pa mapiritsi. Mapiritsi amachuluka kwambiri ndipo pamene coefficient inayake yakwaniritsidwa… imayamba kuchepa. kapena kuima.
"Ntchito zaukatswiri sizingachitike pamapiritsi." - Malo okongola a iPad Pro! :D
Sindikudziwa komwe mumapeza kutsimikizika, koma ndimakonda kujambula "mwaukadaulo" pa iPad kuposa pa Mac, kotero sindikudziwa komwe mumapeza malingaliro otere. Ndipo palibe amene akunena kuti PC adzazimiririka tsiku lina, izo n'zosatheka ngakhale mfundo. Ndi drive yokhayo yomwe inali kompyuta yayikulu ya anthu a PC, mtsogolomo idzakhala iPad (kapena kope lake).
Koma ndithudi akatswiri amakanema, opanga mapulogalamu, ndi zina zotero adzakhala ndi laputopu kapena ma desktops nthawi zonse. Ndipo palibe amene anakana zimenezo. Koma kwa anthu ambiri, piritsi likhala lokwanira m'malo mwa PC yapakompyuta kapena laputopu - ndizomwe zikusintha pambuyo pa PC.
Ndi gawo lotani lomwe lidzatikwaniritse?!
Chimene aliyense adzakhala nacho. Ma PC ndi ma laputopu akhala pano kwa zaka xy. pafupifupi aliyense ali nazo. Mosasamala kanthu kuti, monga wina watchulidwa kale apa, magawo amagulidwa kuti asinthe PC, zomwe sizinaphatikizidwe. Zotsatira zake, izi zikutanthauza kuti machira okha amasintha. Mapiritsi akuchulukirachulukira omwe kunalibe zaka zingapo zapitazo, palibe amene anali nawo, adayambanso. Yang'anani pamapindikira pamene makompyuta apakompyuta kapena laputopu akunyamuka. Mudzawona phirilo lomwelo. Pafupifupi aliyense ali ndi piritsi, zomwezo zidzachitikanso ndi PC. Ndichisinthiko chabe, osati kusintha monga momwe wina adalembera apa. Sindikufuna kukana zokhotakhota etc. Ndimangoganiza kuti ndi njira tingachipeze powerenga za chisinthiko ndipo sizikutsimikizira chirichonse, ine sindidzasiya kompyuta yanga yapakompyuta. Ndipo moona mtima, sindingayerekeze kuchita zinthu zina pa piritsi. Ndipo lingaliro lolemba malingaliro anga a bachelor pa piritsi, mwachitsanzo, limandichititsa mantha. Kumbali ina, ngati piritsi, ndiye ipad yokha. Ngati chinachake chabwino ntchito, ndiye Mac okha. Ngati kumvetsera khalidwe nyimbo, ndiye iPod yekha. Ndipo ngati foni, ndiye iPhone yekha :).
Q: Kodi izi zitikwaniritsa bwanji?!
Yankho: Limene aliyense adzakhala nalo.
Hmm, yankho lovuta kwambiri lochokera kwa wophunzira waku yunivesite (womaliza maphunziro).
M'malingaliro anga, kugulitsa kwa ma PC kumangokhala ma seti athunthu. Gawo lalikulu limapanga PC yokha kuchokera kuzinthu zamtundu uliwonse (zomwe ndikuganiza kuti sizinaphatikizidwe).
Ndikuganiza kuti fayiloyo ikunena za kukula kwa curve osati nambala yeniyeni. Ndipo mapiritsi akusinthidwa pang'onopang'ono ndi ma PC kwa anthu wamba. Ndipo sindikudabwa :)
Vuto ndiloti anthu ambiri amadzipangira okha ma PC awo ndipo zomwe sizikuphatikizidwa muzoyerekeza. Ndinasonkhanitsa PC yanga kawiri ndi pafupifupi. Sindinagulepo makompyuta 2 odziwika bwino komanso athunthu. M'malingaliro anga, nsanja ya PC ikadali yofunika kwambiri ndipo aliyense ayenera kukhala ndi PC chifukwa ma laputopu ndi katundu wogula (ndekha, sindinakhalepo ndi Mac, koma kupatula France, Italy ndi UK, ma Mac safalikira kwambiri Europe, kotero sindingathe kuweruza izo). Ndikuganiza kuti aliyense ayenera kukhala ndi PC yapakompyuta, kuntchito ndi kunyumba, yomwe ntchito yake siingayesedwe, ndi iPad yaying'ono koma yaikulu yomwe idzakhalapo kwa zaka zingapo, yamakono komanso yogwiritsidwa ntchito poyenda.
M'malingaliro anga, kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe amamanga PC kunyumba, kupatsidwa kuchuluka kwa ma PC ogulitsidwa, adzakhala pamalire a zolakwika za chiwerengero cha kafukufuku wotchulidwa.
Ine ndekha ndimagwiritsa ntchito iPad kuntchito komanso kunyumba, koma sindingathe kukhala popanda laputopu. Sindingagwiritse ntchito PC yapakompyuta chifukwa ndimayenera kukhala ndi foni yam'manja ndi zomwe zili mu laputopu.
"Anthu ambiri amapanga PC yawo", "Pulogalamu ya PC ndiyo yofunika kwambiri", "aliyense ayenera kukhala ndi PC"
Wokongola, simungakhale kutali ndi chowonadi pazifukwa izi :) Koma bwanawe, mumakonda PC, koma simukufuna kundiuza kuti mumakhulupirira zomwe mumalemba.
Ponena za "kufunika" kwa nsanja, sindikuwona momwe mukufuna kufananizira kufunikira kwenikweni. Ngati panalibe chosowa, ndiye kuti palibe. Zosavuta monga choncho.